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ValidAnytime

A guaranteed false-alarm budget across your whole fleet, valid no matter how often you look.

Made by Compiled Intelligence — a frontier AI lab working on quantitative finance from first principles; ValidAnytime is the monitoring we built for our own model fleets, productized.

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Glossary

Conformal monitoring

Conformal monitoring is the practice of turning a model's outputs into calibrated evidence of change without assuming how the data is distributed.

Also known as: conformal prediction for monitoring

Conformal monitoring is the use of conformal methods to turn raw model outputs into well-calibrated signals you can feed to a change detector, even when the underlying data is messy or non-normal. Conformal methods let you attach honest uncertainty to a prediction without assuming the data follows any particular distribution — you only need past examples to compare against.

For a practitioner, the appeal is robustness: you do not have to hand-fit a distribution to each metric before you can trust its alarm. The calibration comes from your own history.

Paired with e-processes, conformal scores become the input to an anytime-valid detector — distribution-free calibration on the front end, a valid-under-peeking guarantee on the back end.

Go deeper

  • Anytime-valid 101 in the docs
  • The coverage e-process — guide and in-browser playground

Related terms

  • E-processAn e-process is a running score of evidence against 'nothing has changed'; its value at any moment is an e-value, and it stays valid at every look.
  • Anytime-valid inferenceAnytime-valid inference is a way of testing that stays statistically valid no matter how often you look at the results.
  • Confidence sequenceA confidence sequence is a sequence of confidence intervals that stays valid at every point in time, so you can read it whenever you like.

Put the theory to work.

ValidAnytime turns these ideas into a live alarm you can trust — valid no matter how often you look. Prove it on your own data, free.

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