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Home/Solutions/Use case · LLM eval regression detection

Use case · LLM eval regression detection

Catch the eval regression the day the evidence is decisive — not in next week's report.

Catching an LLM eval regression early means telling a real drop in judge scores from the wobble every nightly run shows — exactly what a fixed threshold on a noisy average can't do. ValidAnytime watches your eval streams with anytime-valid e-processes and fires one alarm the day the drop becomes real evidence, with a false-alarm budget across every eval you run.

Start freeTry it on a drifting eval

Free to start · no credit card

The regression that hid inside the noise.

You ship a prompt change on Monday. Tuesday's eval scores a point lower — within noise, you tell yourself. Wednesday, same. By the next week the average is down four points and tickets are climbing, but no single run ever crossed a line big enough to alarm. The regression didn't hide because you weren't watching. It hid because a threshold on a noisy score can't tell a slow, real drop from ordinary variance.

Thresholds and scheduled evals can't survive continuous checking.

A fixed threshold on a noisy eval trips on nothing — check a fixed 5%-error test 5 times and the real false-positive rate is already ~23%; at 20 looks it passes 64% — and scheduled evals re-roll the dice every run, so you miss the slow regressions or drown in false ones. Eval and tracing frameworks (LangSmith, Langfuse, Braintrust) are great at producing scores; the alarm on top has no valid-under-peeking guarantee.

  • Flip-flopping judge scores you can't separate from real drops.
  • Slow regressions that never cross a fixed line until they're incidents.
  • A/B eval comparisons you peeked at until they looked significant.
  • No way to bound false alarms across dozens of evals at once.

How it works for you

  1. 1

    Stream your eval scores

    Judge scores, task success, format validity, groundedness, latency, cost — send the numbers your evals already produce. No prompts or outputs leave your stack.

  2. 2

    Prove it on your eval history

    The backtest gate replays your past runs and shows whether, and on which day, it would have caught your last regression — and stays quiet on the runs that were fine.

  3. 3

    One alarm per real regression

    An e-process accumulates evidence across runs and fires once, with a certificate, the day the drop is real. Online FDR keeps false discoveries bounded across every eval in the suite.

See it catch a drifting judge score.

Load a drifting LLM-judge series and watch the evidence line stay flat through the noise, then cross the alarm the day the drift is real — with nothing tripped before it. Nothing is uploaded. Then watch the same engine adjudicate “did Claude or GPT change?” live in the Observatory.

LLM judge score — slow regression

Synthetic, illustrative — runs in your browser, nothing uploaded.

Watch it get caught

E-process certificate — every alarm ships one

warned_at
hour 68 — warning tier, model-calibrated, unbudgeted
paged_at
hour 78 — inside the stated false-alarm budget
e_value
20.2
fleet_review
confirmed discovery — online FDR control (e-LOND)
guarantee
average_run_length_e_detector / anytime_valid_under_conditional_mean_null

From the seeded demo — synthetic stream, real engine. Load it in the live dashboard →

Where this fits with your eval stack.

Keep your eval framework — this isn't one, and we don't run your evals or host judges. ValidAnytime is the production alarm on the scores it emits: any numeric eval stream, through the API.

  • vs LangSmith
  • vs Langfuse
  • vs Arize

Questions, answered

Keep reading

  • LLM monitoring that doesn't cry wolf
  • How to reduce alert fatigue
  • E-process
  • The peeking problem
  • Sequential testing
  • Your monitoring dashboard is lying to you
  • EWMA chart — the slow-drift specialist, explained honestly
  • The honest drift-detector benchmark

See whether — and on which day — it would have caught your last regression.

Point ValidAnytime at one stream and it replays your own history — free, no credit card.

Free to start · no credit card · we’ll only email you about your account.